Posts made in September, 2020

Fed Balance Sheet Projections

Aligning trading positions with Fed balance sheet projections could be the holy grail to achieving alpha returns. A thought-provoking piece in Zerohedge notes that Quants have discovered a guaranteed source of alpha, which is to trade based on the growth of the Fed balance sheet. In other words, the disconnect between financial asset prices and the fundamentals are a continuing theme.  Fed balance sheet projections continues to be a...

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So, what is the alphabet shape guide to economic recoveries? It is a question worth pondering, bearing in mind that we could be in the final half of the COVID-19 pandemic, undoubtedly the worst health crisis of the century. The current state of play, regarding the pandemic, is leading me to be cautiously optimistic, bearing in mind that pharmaceutical companies are developing vaccines, health experts are gaining a better understanding...

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The declining labor force participation rates were already in play before the pandemic hit as fourth industrial revolution technologies, the digitalization of everything, the fintech revolution and ongoing automation from cashier-less stores, automated vehicles, and fast industrial robot production lines, has meant that humans need not apply. The declining labor force participation rates in the Fourth Industrial Revolution is a macro...

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