The last time a Russian default occurred was in 1998, but could the next one be as significant as the Bolshevik revolution a century ago. Russia narrowly avoided a default this week, Mach 16, on the $117 million in interest payments it owes to investors by ordering the debt payments on the country’s frozen dollar reserves, according to Anton Siluanov, Russia’s finance minister. But here is the kicker, it is unclear whether...
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The Ukrainian Russian military confrontation is likely to have a profound impact on everything, including investing, so how will the new Cold War impact investments? First, let’s look at three possible outcomes from the Russian/Ukrainian war. In all scenarios, we assume that Ukraine will soon be occupied, bearing in mind Russian overwhelming forces and control of the skies, which means a conclusion is imminent. So we will see...
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