Darren Winters

Self made multi-millionaire investor and successful entrepreneur


Real motive for a trade war

Real motive for a trade war


Posted By on Jul 13, 2018

Could the real motive for a trade war be a build-up to war in the Pacific with China? The Carnegie Council asked people in their audience to raise their hands if they think there “will be a war with China within the next year or so or a major armed conflict in East Asia generally. Maybe this would help show the real motive for a trade war” Only a couple of people raised their hands. But that vote was conducted in April 2017 when...

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Trade war first shots were fired last week with the US Trump administration imposing $34 billion of tariffs of Chinese goods on Friday (July 6). US Customs began collecting the import duties at 12:01 am. Founder of the world’s largest hedge fund Ray Dalio tweeted, “the first day of the war” with China has begun. Indeed, a trade war with China is now underway. Hope for the best but expect for the worse. Those pundits who believed...

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The Kelly Criterion or Kelly’s formula is about minimizing losses and maximize your gains through efficient diversification. The Kelly Criterion is one of many models that can be used to help investors & traders with a diversified strategy. There is a maxim applied to investing; don’t put all your eggs in one basket. So Kelly’s formula helps to derive a diversification strategy. Put simply, it is used by...

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Junk bond attraction

Junk bond attraction


Posted By on Jun 22, 2018

The Junk bond attraction could make sparks fly, bearing in mind that the high-risk high reward nature of the high-risk debt market makes junk bonds attractive. All the stars are aligning for a junk bond attraction that could be like none other. Investors have been building up cash position in anticipation of a market correction and the end of the credit cycle. Indeed, the Fed, the world’s central bank by default is showing no...

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Trumponomics

Trumponomics


Posted By on Jun 13, 2018

Trumponomics and Trump’s “America First” rhetoric originates from the Beggar thy neighbor policies of the classic 18th century Scottish economist and philosopher Adam Smith, the father of modern economics. So Trumponomics is the 21st-century version of the Adam Smith’s beggar thy neighbor policies which came about as a policy solution to domestic depression and high levels of unemployment. What then is the crux of...

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Technical Analysis Works

Technical Analysis Works


Posted By on Jun 9, 2018

Technical analysis works 70% of the time, according to Jeff Gundlach chief investment officer of Los Angeles-based DoubleLine Capital. Few top investors will admit to using technical analysis but Jeff Gundlach a respected investor said that he relies on technical analysis under certain conditions. So when will technical analysis works 70% of the time? Here is the zinger, “It works when the market’s resistance and support levels are...

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Credit Squeeze

Credit Squeeze


Posted By on May 28, 2018

Credit is tightening and it would not be eye-deceiving to suggest that a 2018 credit squeeze, similarly to the one experienced almost a decade ago in 2008, is a potential black-swan meandering the lake of risk. A credit squeeze could be imminent, according to market watchers who follow the “credit cycle”, which is the phase of access to credit by borrowers. The beginning of a credit cycle is characterized by funds being relatively...

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Could bear markets have become obsolete in the post 2008 financial crisis era? In the new age of financial engineering and algorithmic trading zero gravity in prices has become a reality. Zero gravity is making bear markets obsolete. Market cycles have merged into a timeless bull market where prices either float or head upwards in an emptiness of seemingly infinite central bank liquidity. So have bear stock markets become obsolete...

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Emerging Market Crisis

Emerging Market Crisis


Posted By on May 19, 2018

An emerging market crisis is brewing all the stars are aligned, the global economy has peaked, trade war, sanctions, and tariffs have entered the diction, central bank rate hikes are underway and the era of central bank currency creation is being curtailed. So could the mother of all emerging market crisis now be on the horizon? Emerging markets have a higher cliff to fall from this time around because the greatest monetary...

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Bigger black swan events

Bigger black swan events


Posted By on May 15, 2018

Bigger black swan events could be on the horizon. The 2008 financial crisis was considered a black swan, an event outside the “ mass mind matrix” that nobody was able to forecast. Bigger black swan events could be lurking in today’s financial market, the world is in a tangle. A US-China trade war is looming, there is a tax war too. There is an ongoing geopolitical crisis in the middle east, Iran/Syria (internal link) with the...

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